Race Horses and Mutual Funds

For years investors have been taught to look
into the composition of a mutual funds. In other
words the "experts" want you to take the time to
analyze the stocks within the mutual fund
portfolio, categorize them by industry group and
try to understand the objective of the fund
manager. This is nonsense.

When I go the track I look to see what the horse
has been doing for the last several races. I
don't give a hoot what he had for breakfast. All
I want to know is has he been fast?
Is there a
good chance he will finish in the money in the
next race? I only want to know how he has been
performing.

Most mutual fund managers, except those who
follow index funds, are always trading. You have
no idea that what is in the portfolio today was
there yesterday or will be tomorrow. Some fund
managers trade more than others, but you can
prove this to yourself by looking at the fund
prospectus at the beginning of the year and one
of the updates that funds publish quarterly.
Many of the stocks will still be there, however,
you don't know if the percentage holdings are
the same.

By the way, don't bother reading a mutual fund
prospectus. They are worthless when it comes to
making money. Consider that most of the
information in it is about a year old by the
time you read it.
Think about this seriously for
a minute. Is there anything you can find out in
the document that will show up in your bottom
line? I'll wait while you think.
OK? There
really wasn't anything was there? All
prospectuses are basically worthless.

But you say the SEC (Securities and Exchange
Commission) in Washington approved this. No,
they did NOT. They don't approve of anything;
they just read it to be sure it meets the
regulatory requirements for disclosure. There is
almost no difference between the prospectus for
the worst mutual fund and the best mutual fund
and both of them may have been read by the same
Dilbert in his cubicle at the SEC.

There is one excellent way to find out which
fund to buy. It is based on performance. How
much has the fund increased in price during the
past 12 months?
Just 12 months. Many financial
analysts want you to look at 3-year, 5-year and
10-year performance. Remember that horse?
I
don't care how many races he won 3 or 5 years
ago. Can he run NOW? There are many publications
and web sites that tell you the best performers.
Investor's Business Daily prints a list of best
performing funds each day. You might have to see
the paper every day as they sometimes just tell
about the long-term performance.
You want the
last 12 months and the last 3 months.

Three years ago you could have bought the best
performing fund on the street and today have a
dog. I call a dog any mutual fund that is not
outperforming the S&P500 index.

If you were a jockey you would want to ride the
fastest horses because in many races you get a
percentage of the purse. The same applies to
mutual funds. You must own only the best
performing funds at all times.
Like the jockey
you must pick the fastest horse if you want to
be a winner.

You should review your fund holdings monthly to
see that you are only in the best funds. It
might take you an hour, but you will find that
you will double the current return on your
mutual fund investments. Do it!

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!"
has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method.


Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does
not want you to know.

Al Thomas